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Investing

Is global currency pecking order being rewritten by oil and war?

For years, the currency pecking order looked relatively fixed. The US dollar dominated, the euro and yen anchored the traditional reserve complex, and commodity currencies were often treated as useful but cyclical side trades. That hierarchy is now being challenged as oil, energy security and geopolitical fragmentation take on much greater importance in global markets.

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Pound steadies near pre-war levels despite UK political pressure

The British pound remained largely stable on Friday, returning to levels seen before the onset of the Iran war, as currency markets showed limited reaction to renewed political pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Sterling held steady against the dollar at $1.35305, reflecting broader rangebound conditions across global currency markets. Traders appeared to overlook calls

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The Fed, Trump, and a crumbling trust premium — the dollar’s perfect storm

There are more articles about dollar dominance right now than there are buyers of it. Everyone has a take. Most of them are either panicking or dismissing. Here’s what’s actually happening. The numbers don’t lie, but they don’t tell the whole story either The DXY index sits at roughly 98 as of mid-April 2026, down

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Pound ticks up as UK data shows strong pre-war growth

Sterling rose modestly on Thursday after stronger-than-expected UK economic data lifted sentiment, while markets also tracked developments around a potential peace deal linked to the US-Iran conflict. The pound was last up 0.1% at $1.3575. Against the British currency, the euro slipped 0.1% to 86.94 pence. UK growth beats expectations Britain’s economy expanded more sharply

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US dollar slides to 6-week low as Iran talks hopes spark risk rally

The dollar retreated on Wednesday and hovered near six-week lows, giving back most of the gains built up since the outbreak of war in the Middle East, as renewed hopes for diplomacy between Washington and Iran improved appetite for risk. The move came as investors responded to signs that talks could resume in Pakistan within

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Can sterling hold gains as war risks hit UK economy?

The British pound took a breather on Wednesday after its longest winning streak in a year, slipping against the US dollar as improving sentiment around a possible resolution to the Iran war weighed on the safe-haven greenback. The dollar had fallen to six-week lows as investor optimism picked up, prompting some cooling in sterling’s recent

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Pound climbs to pre-war levels as Iran talks boost markets

The British pound strengthened against the US dollar on Tuesday, reaching levels last seen before the Iran conflict, as investors grew hopeful about a potential resolution to tensions. Sterling rose 0.33% to $1.3548, marking a return to levels recorded just before the conflict escalated in late February. Against the euro, the pound remained largely unchanged

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Pound weakens amid geopolitical tensions and energy price surge

The British pound declined against a broadly stronger US dollar on Monday as escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran  heightened market uncertainty. The move followed the breakdown of talks between Washington and Tehran, with US President Donald Trump announcing that the US Navy would begin blockading the Strait of Hormuz. The decision

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Why does HSBC expect the dollar to weaken despite gains?

The US dollar moved higher on Monday after weekend talks between Washington and Tehran failed to produce an agreement to end the ongoing conflict. According to CNBC, the greenback gained 0.3% against the euro, trading at $1.169, and rose 0.25% against the British pound to $1.342. The uptick in the currency came after peace negotiations

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USD/ZAR forecast: South African rand surges as rising wedge activates

The South African rand has staged a strong comeback this week after the US and Iran’s ceasefire agreement that may ultimately lead to lower oil prices in the country. The USD/ZAR exchange rate plunged to 16.40, down sharply from the year-to-date high of 17.23. South African rand gained ahead of ceasefire talks  The South African

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